Finanse

In an interview held in November 2023, Mr. Aerdt Houben – Director of Financial Markets Division of Dutch central bank (DNB) shared some interesting remarks on how DNB equalized its gold reserves, relative at a rate to Dutch GDP, to other countries of Eurozone and outside of Europe. According to his statement, official gold reserves can be used as foundations for new gold standard. Considering occasion, we’d like then to present two interesting approaches on theoretical gold revaluation.

First quarter of 2024 brought long awaited and expected price breakout on gold, which is on nearly 2200 USD now. Levels which just few year ago would make sceptics to smile ironically. However, great gold price run may seem to be just starting, as economics and financials did build for us, ‘perfect’ combination of factors, which seems to fuel further positive price action.

How much is it 5%? It’s relative. Have we had 1000 dollars that would be fifty bucks. On equity or commodity markets that would be juicy profit or loss. As a margin for goods manufacturing entity – that is dependable on type of goods and costs occurred – as it will directly impact our EBITDA. On more volatile markets like crypto, that would be just another boring day. But on treasury markets - especially in relation to yield – five percent mean a lot.

New Year – new opportunities, expectations and challenges. Considering its 2019 which could be considered as last rather normal year, we’d expect economic, financial, political and geopolitical roller-coaster to continue. And this will continue to impact our lives and investments. However, world didn’t end since and it doesn’t seem to it in the nearest future, and so we must carry on thinking forward. So, what to expect from precious metals in 2024?

What if gold has run out on Earth? No more gold. Es gibt kein gold. No existe el oro. Zołota niet. Złota nie ma - wyszło. In our search for yellow metal, we’re going to travel in time, reach where mankind barely reached so far, discover fascinating world of microorganisms and try to make modern philosophical stone. We’ll step down below Earth’s crust, touch the ocean bottom and look in the stars. So join us in an adventure in search for not-so obvious and hidden gold.

Ongoing correction on prices of gold may soon come to an end due to fundamental reasons, cyclicality but also because of new and old but refreshed factors, which we’ll try to describe below. One thing is certain – despite of horizontal moves many assets experienced last months – we do not have reasons to be bored.

On 24th October 2023 precious metals analyst – Mr Ronan Manly – noticed that Chinese banks directly participating in LBMA Gold Price Auctions have disappeared of the list. This has not been commented in any way by LBMA and related authorities and for now reminds under shroud of mystery. As for now, this didn’t get sufficient media coverage. Also interested counterparts didn’t release any official statement. So in attempt to understand what happened, we’ll try to examine information and attempt to set it within wider background. Analysis may contain some speculative conclusions.

This August, in Johannesburg, South Africa, BRICS was supposed to present its gold backed currency/token to be used for trade purposes. Or at least some sketch. It showed nothing - to major disappointment of some commentators. So was it nativity to expect ‘grand premiere’, or did BRICS’s project just failed because it is impossible to have gold-backed currency in modern days. Or maybe it was victim of inner-BRICS policies? And could we now finally say now, it is entirely ditched?

There are two main approaches helping to understand and determine price of assets. Narrower is microeconomics, which focuses on analysis of markets, entities, politics, government, legislation, demand/supply etc. Other is macroeconomics, which looks at economy as a whole, dealing with such aggregate phenomena as growth in total output and living standards, business cycles, inflation, unemployment etc. Right now both tell us, good times are gone.

Concept of a common BRICS currency and discussions about potential role of gold in, has been an idea of more or less serious considerations and speculations for last several years.

Concept of a common BRICS currency and discussions about potential role of gold in, has been an idea of more or less serious considerations and speculations for last several years.

Gold has reached and crossed briefly 2000 USD on 20th of March 2023. It was 3rd time it has passed through this psychological barrier.

Concept of a common currency for BRICS countries, and quandaries about role of gold in it, has been subject of less or more serious considerations and speculations for several years.